All that is solid melts into air – and now it permeates through the ‘fibers’

“All that is solid melts into air, all that is holy is profaned, and man is at last compelled to face with sober senses, his real conditions of life, and his relations with his kind. Karl Marx, Communist Manifesto, Section 1, paragraph 18, lines 12-14.

Compelled to face with sober senses his real conditions of life? Through which Google filter or lense will we be looking as we do face such sober truths? Through Google’s Search? Ah a sober realization that the real conditions are that the answers we find using Google direct us to Google goods/services, google’s sponsors, google news. Through GoogleGlass? Googlemaps? GoogleFiber? Or through Google’s YouTube or a google app. 

We believe it is perfectly possible that Google achieve an attractive IRR (internal rate of             return) for its Fiber deployment”            Collabr8 : Choice quote of the week.

 

I’m always fascinated by reports about future business models for media and advertising – especially ones that are delivered to us direct from Wall Street. You can imagine my surprise to find this story – mixing its metaphors in ways that undo all the good work of ‘digital engagement’ my masseur put in the day before to demobilize (rather than deploy) my neck fibers. 

From  GLOBAL MEDIA TECHNOLOGY ONLINE

 Could YouTube Become as Big as CBS or Viacom?

 Google’s video site could top $15 billion in revenue in next five years, Wall Street

analyst says.

 Todd Spangler – VARIETY – MAY 3, 2013 | 08:32AM PT

 

 Within the next five years, Google’s YouTube could generate $15 billion or more in annual revenue — which would make it about the same size as CBS or Viacom, a Wall Street analyst predicts.

We think the odds are extremely high that YouTube will be a large, profitable and highly consequential business” in the next few years, Sanford Bernstein senior analyst Carlos Kirjner wrote in a research note Friday. “It is becoming an attractive and important medium for brand advertisers, and we think it will increasingly compete (with traditional media companies) for the incremental video-delivered brand advertising dollars

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The vidsite now streams 6 billion hours of video to more than 1 billion unique users per month across the globe. In the U.S., YouTube now reaches a bigger audience of adults 18-34 than any single TV network, global head of content Robert Kyncl said at Google’s YouTube Brandcast event this week, citing Nielsen analysis.

Google does not break out results for YouTube in its financial statements. In 2012, the website was expected to haul in net revenue of $2.4 billion, according to an estimate last year by analyst Mark Mahaney, who previously was with Citigroup and joined RBC Capital Markets earlier this year.

YouTube is strategically crucial for Google to maintain growth, as core search revenue decelerates over the next few years, according to Kirjner.

This spring, YouTube is expected to launch a handful of subscription-based channels from premium content providers. That could represent another important revenue stream, in addition to YouTube’s ad sales. Site already offers pay-per-view streaming movies and TV shows from major studios and nets, though it’s not clear how significant that business is.

As far as ad-supported professionally produced content, YouTube appears to have shifted gears after fronting a $100 million investment in original channels starting in 2011.

At Wednesday’s NewFronts event, Kyncl said YouTube has moved away from “these waves of announcements” on original channel partners. “Now it’s simply about finding the right talent and content,” he said.

Beyond YouTube, Google has embarked on initiatives including Google Fiber, selfdriving cars and wearable Google Glass devices in an attempt to build new businesses that will fuel growth.

Google Fiber, which provides ultra-fast Internet and TV, is currently live in Kansas City metro area and the company has announced plans to bring fiber service to Austin, Texas, and Provo, Utah. On Thursday, the city council of Shawnee, Kan., a suburb of Kansas City, voted to approve a franchise for Google Fiber.

We believe it is perfectly possible that Google achieve an attractive IRR (internal rate of return) for its Fiber deployment,” Kirjner wrote. “If that is the case, it could be passing several million U.S. homes in a few years and may be even expanding overseas.”

Kirjner previously expressed doubts that Google will be able to achieve favorable economic returns on a widespread fiber-to-the-home expansion. If Internet giant hits pay dirt with fiber, self-driving cars, Google Glass or other nascent projects, “those who call such initiatives ridiculous or a waste will feel very much like those who said the same of the YouTube acquisition not that long ago,” he wrote in the note Friday.

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